Tough call for Distinctly Irish

June 01, 2023
I AM FRED ridden by Christopher Mamdeen, walks to the winners’ enclosure after winning the three-year-old upwards open allowance graded stakes over six furlongs at Caymanas Park in September.
I AM FRED ridden by Christopher Mamdeen, walks to the winners’ enclosure after winning the three-year-old upwards open allowance graded stakes over six furlongs at Caymanas Park in September.
Migrants line up in Yuma, Arizona to board a bus after crossing the border from Mexico and surrendering to US authorities to apply for asylum.
Migrants line up in Yuma, Arizona to board a bus after crossing the border from Mexico and surrendering to US authorities to apply for asylum.
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Saturday's Distinctly Irish should be approached with caution and respect for the handicaps. SHE'S MY DESTINY reporting 22lb and 19lb lighter than I AM FRED and CALCULUS, respectively, could spell trouble for the pair at nine furlongs and 25 yards.

At first glance, I AM FRED putting away MAHOGANY in the April 22 Viceroy Trophy at a mile in which CALCULUS ran on to be second by a length and three-quarters would suggest they have the distance Distinctly Irish at their mercy.

However, a deeper look at the skewed handicaps, regardless of the trip, shows SHE'S MY DESTINY, I AM FRED's stablemate, allotted 108lb after romping the graded stakes-open allowance Lady Geeta Trophy with 126lb a month ago.

In another performance with 126lb, SHE'S MY DESTINY allowed I AM FRED nine pounds at five and a half furlongs on March 4. SHE'S MY DESTINY led for four and a half furlongs with 126lb, finishing third by two lengths as the 1-5 favourite, the event which started a hat-trick of victories for I AM FRED.

Rated at 108lb, having won a graded stakes-open allowance last time out, Jason DaCosta appears to have a two-pronged attack in mind with SHE'S MY DESTINY, not a relay strategy as it would appear on paper.

Trip has no business determining allotted weight in a handicap race, which must have been the factor in SHE'S MY DESTINY's 108lb, made even lighter, 104lb, by DaCosta calling in claiming rider Jordan Barrett.

Summoning Barrett points to a catch-me-if-you-can race for SHE'S MY DESTINY, whose speed saw her clocking a stakes record 1:04.4 for five and a half furlongs, carrying 119lb, December 26, a little over three weeks after chasing MAHOGANY to the furlong pole in the Mouttet Mile.

CALCULUS who boasts a 10-furlong win against I AM FRED in last September's Menudo Trophy, has only lost once in five route races since last September. CALCULUS' fifth-place finish in the Mouttet Mile, a rip-speed event, underlines his class, which he brings to the fore in two-turn events.

However, similar to I AM FRED, giving up 19lb to in-form speedster SHE'S MY DESTINY, who was still ahead of him a half-furlong out in the Mouttet Mile, also makes him susceptible at the handicaps despite getting one of his pet trips.

I AM FRED has improved significantly this season, reeling off a hat-trick, twice beating SHE'S MY DESTINY into third. However, completing a circuit with 126lb, chasing a super-light and speedy rival could take a toll should SHE'S MY DESTINY catches a second wind with an unmolested lead.

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